The future of urban transport Majority does not believe in breakthrough of electric mobility

Autonomous driving in electric vehicles, shared mobility and delivery of goods by drone: this is how many Germans imagine life in 2045. However, the interviewees lack the belief that these and other visions of the future will become reality in 25 years.

Particularly in the field of electromobility, there are great doubts as to when or whether this will become reality. This is the result of a representative YouGov survey commissioned by BearingPoint, a management and technology consultancy.

80 % of the respondents do not think it likely that electric mobility will prevail in urban traffic, although almost one third (31 %) would like to see it. 40 % of the survey participants also consider it desirable that means of transport in rural areas be shared in the future. But only 14% believe that this shared mobility will become a reality in rural areas in 25 years.

»In the field of electric mobility, politicians have great plans, but the population has not yet believed in a real turnaround. But the fact is: if you want clean cities and climate-friendly mobility, you have to rely on e-mobility at least in the short and medium term«, comments Dr. Stefan Penthin of BearingPoint.

In the city: Autonomous vehicles are in demand

A good third (34%) of those surveyed would like autonomous vehicles to gain in importance in the city, and 29% are in favour of having their own car in 2045 being superfluous. However, only 11% believe that this scenario is realistic.

Almost half (46%) also want large vehicles such as SUVs to be replaced by smaller vehicles in the city. But here, too, only 21% of those surveyed believe that SUVs will disappear from major German cities.

In the country: your own car remains essential

44% of respondents believe it is likely that rural life will become more attractive again in the future. The majority of respondents (54%) are in favour of more people switching from individual to public transport, but only 13% believe that this is likely. In addition, 41% would like alternative powertrains to be established by 2045, but only 19% believe they will be.

BearingPoint publishes the full results of the Mobility 2045 survey on LinkedIn on weekdays in December. One aspect from each of the urban and rural survey areas is then examined in more detail in an infographics.

The data is based on a survey conducted by YouGov Germany on behalf of BearingPoint, in which a total of 2033 people took part between 25 and 28 October 2019. The results were weighted and representative of the German population aged 18 and over.